Our commentary on
KPMG, Aged Care Market Analysis 2026 (March 2026)
Read KPMG's reportAll figures below are KPMG's, sourced to the report above. This article is Intellova's independent analysis — we are not affiliated with or endorsed by KPMG.
The market is moving to Support at Home
Support at Home — the reform of in-home aged care that commenced in late 2025, replacing Home Care Packages — is reshaping a sector that is already growing fast. KPMG's Aged Care Market Analysis 2026, now in its ninth year, is one of the clearest reads on the numbers behind that shift.
We've pulled out the figures most relevant to providers planning for the new model. Every number below is KPMG's, covering FY25 (1 July 2024 – 30 June 2025) unless noted; see the report for the full picture.
What KPMG found
The following figures are reported by KPMG in Aged Care Market Analysis 2026:
- $39.2 billiontotal government aged-care spend in FY25 — up 9.6% on FY24, with residential the largest share at $24 billion.
- $9.9 billionhome care (Home Care Package) funding in FY25 — up $1.1 billion, a 15% rise on the prior year, with the program now approaching $10 billion a year.
- 292,911 peoplereceiving a Home Care Package at 30 June 2025 — a 6.3% increase over twelve months.
- 96,709 peoplewaiting in the National Priority System for a package at their approved level — up 41% on FY24, as demand outstrips supply.
- 873 providersdelivering home care in FY25 (up from 818 since FY18), with the top 25 holding 40.5% of funding.
Source: KPMG, Aged Care Market Analysis 2026 (March 2026). Figures relate to FY25 unless stated.
KPMG's message to providers: digitise
The part that jumped out to us is KPMG's guidance to providers. Among its key considerations, the report leads with “digitise to unlock new value” — using technology and AI to reduce admin, support virtual care and guide informed decisions. KPMG notes that buyers are prioritising organisations with efficient, technology-enabled operating models.
As KPMG's Helen Sutherland puts it in the report: “Home care providers that have a strong technology backbone, high quality clinical governance and workforce compliance are attracting premium valuations.”
Our take: a unified data backbone is the edge
Here's where we'd add a view of our own. Support at Home moves providers to a more tightly classified, capped, contribution-based funding model with stricter reporting. In practice that means reconciling what you claim against what you deliver and what you're paid, tracking participant contributions and service-level pricing, and reporting accurately to keep funding flowing.
That's very hard when the data lives in separate rostering, clinical, billing and finance systems that don't talk to each other. The “technology backbone” KPMG rewards isn't one app — it's a single, trustworthy view of your operation. That's exactly what Intellova's claims & billing and unified-data approach are built for.
Free report
Support at Home & Aged Care: The 2026 Data Readiness Report
This article is Intellova's independent commentary. The research and all cited figures are KPMG's — see KPMG, Aged Care Market Analysis 2026 (March 2026). Intellova is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to KPMG. For Support at Home program rules and the latest dates, refer to the Australian Department of Health, Disability and Ageing.
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